You would think that as a former employee in the Attorney General's office, Kevin "Bully" McCarthy would know when to put down the ganja and back away.

Apparently not, though. From a trusted source inside the Democrats' PAC update a few weeks ago, we hear that McCarthy feels that "60 seats would be a conservative estimate."

That's a net gain of seven, folks. Now, we've been writing about the supposed Democratic tsunami, and the national media is all a-twitter over it. And while the atmospherics have favored Dems for quite some time, we think Kevin is about as over-confident as the 2004 USA Men's Olympic Basketball Team. In fact, in the estimates they presented to PACs, they confidently listed 8 seats as their "conservative estimate."

In future posts, we'll break down some of the great races shaping up, but we're content to let Kevin keep thinking they'll cruise to a conservative 20 seat majority. After all, their fundraising is really amazing, setting records and blowing away the Republicans (not).

Let's say we trade the Schickel and Dandekar seats. By our count, they still have to pick off at least three incumbent Republicans, as in Rants, Sands, Heaton, Paulsen, Deyoe, Upmeyer, Wiencek or Rassmussen. Then they have to win at least four open seats. Seats like the one currently held by Sandy Greiner, Carmine Boal or Dan Clute.

Now, they have advantages in some of these seats, but a 60-seat Democratic House would require them to completely run the table, and knock off candidates in districts where they have never shown an ability to win before.

We might be living in the Year of the Donkey, with disastrous effects on our state budget, our taxes, and our freedom from forced unionization. We're peddling uphill, folks. So let's show the Democrats what happens when you get fat, lazy, and overconfident.